Mitch McConnell may be coming to winter.
No, he (probably) does not have to worry about losing his reelection campaign in Kentucky, but his Senate majority is in great danger at any time since the GOP came to power in 2014.
One Democrat boasted, “Democrats have a huge advantage. A lot of states play.” “There are different factors that compliment each other.”
For starters, Republicans face a math problem. In the 2020 Senate election, the GOP will secure 23 seats, while the Democrats will only secure 12 seats. Republicans now have a 53-47 advantage, meaning Senate Democrats will need four seats to gain control of the chamber (or three if they can take over the White House.
As Republicans across the country face popular, well-funded opponents and tough referendum numbers, the opportunity for Democrats is vast. At the very least, DNC insiders are very confident that they can win Senate races in Arizona, Colorado, Maine and North Carolina against Republicans. All four races are rated “toss-up” by non-competitors Cook political statement, Does not list any races with the Democrats currently sitting in the same column.
Still, Democrats face a few challenges. The party is most likely to lose Doug Jones, an Alabama Democrat who won a special election in 2017 against alleged pedophile Roy Moore.
Depending on the outcome of the July GOP primary, Jones will face former Sen. and Attorney General Jeff Sessions or former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville. February poll AL Daily News and Mason Dixon Jones showed the two men head-to-head fit.
“Now he has the support of his thoughts and prayers. No money from [Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee], ”A second Senate man, who was not authorized to speak, told The Post about Jones.
Sessions is trying to get back his old seat – a complex attempt by President Trump, angry at his former AG’s decision to withdraw himself from the Russia investigation. Both males are frequent Triggered on Twitter Duperville, backed by Trump, has exploited these divisions.
Senate sources say the Democrats’ biggest hope is that Sessions will tailor the GOP nomination and then be undermined by Trump.
Further afield – and with a little luck – Democrats hope they can compete in Montana, Iowa and at least one Georgia seat, all of which are currently owned by Republicans. In Beech State, Sen. Kelly Loeffler continues to question why she sold millions of dollars in January and February – just before the stock market collapsed due to COVID-19. The sale came after Loeffler attended a private Senate convention on coronavirus.
Meanwhile, the Montana Democrats, Steve Bullock, a prominent former governor, and current Sen. Gov. Steve hopes to knock down Taines. A University of Montana referendum Bullock shows the lead tines by seven points. In Iowa, Sen. Joni Ernst has watched his endorsement ratings and turnout fall in recent months, and is now almost paralyzed with Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield, who has proven to be an excellent fundraiser.
Democrats… and a lot of states have a big advantage.
– Democratic Senate Internal
The fate of the GOP senators will be affected by the man at the top of the ticket, whose own reelection hopes have been dark since January. Where Trump seemed to win on the strength of historic economic growth, he now faces the worst unemployment numbers since the Great Depression, the global health epidemic that has now killed nearly 110,000 Americans, and the racial unrest seen since the 1960s.
“I think Republicans can hang with a fingernail [the election] Larry Sabato, a longtime political craftsman and professor at the University of Virginia, told The Post, while November was a long way off. “This whole election will be determined primarily by how people interpret President Trump’s virus or how he deals with the epidemic and the economy.”
Here are four great opportunities for Dems to capture the Senate…
Incumbent: Martha McSally (R)
Challenger: Mark Kelly (D)
Incumbent GOP Sen. Martha McSally was never the most famous person in her state. He lost to Democrat Kirsten Cinema in 2018 by over 50,000 votes, and ended up in the Senate after Arizona icon John McCain died, allowing Doug Ducey to nominate him for the seat. When facing voters for the second time, McCauley will go up against another Arizona icon – Mark Kelly, husband of NASA’s former astronaut and veteran congressman Gabby Giffords. Polls show Kelly McCallie is currently being crushed Nine points on average. “As far as astronauts are concerned, the stars are always together,” a second insider said, citing the successful elections of Senator Bill Nelson and John Glenn.
Incumbent: Susan Collins (R)
Challenger: Sarah Gideon (D)
After the moderate Republican vote, the National Democrats retaliated against Susan Collins, a deciding vote in the Supreme Court of Brett Kavanagh.
Challenger Sarah Gideon, the current speaker of the Maine House of Representatives, is already leaning on the vote against Collins. Behind Gideon, which raised more than $ 7.2 million in the first quarter of 2020, the state and national Democratic power is behind it – more than double the amount Collins raised in the same period. If all else fails, Gideon can always ask for additional support from writer Stephen King, who has 5.9 million Twitter followers and has already endorsed him.
Incumbent: Cory Gardner (R)
Challenger: John Hickenlooper (D)
Although he emerged as the 2020 presidential candidate, John Hickenlooper is significantly more popular in his home state of Colorado, where he spent eight years as governor. GOP Sen. He is now in favor of facing off against Cory Gardner A poll this month from Keating-Onsite-Melanson Hickenlooper has raised 18 points. (Biden leads Trump by a similar margin in the state, with Hillary Clinton winning the state by 4.9 percentage points in 2016.) Gardner, first-termmer, came to power shortly during the 2014 GOP wave, and is increasingly seen by Democrats in the state legislature, governor’s mansion And according to a state that controls other Senate seats.
Incumbent: Thom Tillis (R)
Challenger: Cal Cunningham (D)
Sen. Trump has distanced himself from President Trump and moderate voters. Tom Tillis has put in a lot of effort. Roll Call has called him One of the most vulnerable Republicans Seeking reelection. Chen. A conservative stronghold that Jesse Helms has ruled for decades, North Carolina has become the thrilling purple state that Obama elected in 2008, Trump in 2016 and a Democratic governor in 2017. Tillis ’immediate predecessors in the Senate – one Democrat and one Republican – both served only for a time before being ousted. His North Carolina counterpart, who was forced to step down as chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee last week, faces domestic trade allegations. Tillis will no doubt face the worst questions about Richard Burr. Burr’s seat will not run until 2022, and the senator has said he will not seek re-election.