Dr Chris Pernell, a New Jersey doctor who lost his father to Kovid-19, told CNN on Thursday that she was on the phone with friends last night, asking them to scrap their travel plans.
“I begged them: please, stay home. Be safe, you can enjoy your loved ones in the future,” Pernell said.
The average number of daily deaths per week – Wednesday was 1,658 – the highest since mid-May.
Expert: Daily deaths could soon double
One expert estimates that daily Kovid-19 deaths will double in just a few days.
“When you look at the people who were admitted to the hospital today, they were infected two weeks ago, and may be even more so, so it takes five to seven days to become symptomatic,” said Dr. Jonathan Rainer, a medical professor at George Washington University. Wednesday.
“Normally, it takes another week for an illness to get to the hospital, so it takes at least two weeks, and then it usually takes another week for people to get sick,” Rainer said.
“I hope the daily mortality rate will double in the next 10 days,” he said. “We see 4,000 deaths a day.”
‘We see surge after surge’
As the country deepened in the Kovid-19 surge, local and state leaders made last-ditch efforts throughout the week to warn Americans: Do not opt for traditional Thanksgiving celebrations this year, or things could get worse.
Phone alerts were sent out in some parts of Pennsylvania and Georgia urging residents to stay safe during the holiday. Authorities in New Orleans sent a reminder to residents to celebrate in their own home and keep the big celebrations a reality. In a final request to Kansas, Laura Kelly said that following government regulations “will be more difficult in the coming days than ever before.” U.S. Surgeon General Dr. Jerome Adams said there were only immediate family members on a safe Thanksgiving this year.
Similar warnings were received last week from officials in almost every state. Experts have warned of what could happen in the coming weeks if Americans ignore guidance.
“Spending more time in a warm family relationship with all those who travel here and with families who have expanded to their destinations is a kind of serious news here,” said Dr. William Schaffner, a professor of infectious diseases at the University of Vanderbilt. .
“The virus is going to attend and spread to some of those Thanksgiving dinners, I’m afraid. Then people will come home and some of them will get sick and spread it to their families and their neighborhoods,” he said.
“In a week, in two weeks, we’ll see surge after surge,” Schaffner said. “We’re in a very difficult situation.”
CDC study: Only 1 in 8 of US infections are likely to be counted
Only 1 or 13% of all coronavirus infections in the United States are detected and reported by the end of September, a new modeling study suggests.
Researchers at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimate that between February and September, 53 million people in the United States may be infected.
During the same period, 7 million cases of Kovid-19 were reported nationally, the researchers said.
To estimate the number of Kovid-19 cases missing since the beginning of the epidemic, the researchers used a model to adjust the number of reported symptomatic cases in the United States. They identified cases, asymptomatic cases, patients seeking care and the risk of false negative test results.
There are some limitations to their study, in which test availability and use have changed over time, and their findings are based on a potential model – so they only serve as estimates.
Overall, although the number of Kovid-19 cases in the study appears to be large, researchers believe that 84% of the U.S. population will be infected by the end of September, so “most of the country is at risk,” despite already high rates of hospitalization. “
CNN’s Pete Munten, Ben Tinker, Jacqueline Howard, Shelby Lynn Erdman and Naomi Thomas contributed to the report.