U.S. Census: Election burden increases for southern Republican states

With a 7.4% increase from 2010, there are now 331.5 million people in the United States, according to the Census Bureau (U.S. Census Bureau), Conducted last year, according to the census of the last decade.

Over the past decade, the American population has experienced its second-smallest increase since the census began in 1790. This population slowdown, most significant between 1930 and 1940, was explained by declining birth rates and low immigration.

The state’s population, details of which will be released later this year, will affect the hundreds of billions provided by the federal government to areas such as education, hospitals and housing.

The Trump administration, which wants to add the question of citizenship to the census form and thereby exclude illegal immigrants, Came back After one Backlash in the Supreme Court.

The resulting film also has an impact on the political weight of the states in Washington. As the Midwest and Northeastern states, which have historically supported the Democrats, lose seats, political power will continue to move south in the coming decade.

The number of delegates in the House – 435 – is constant, but according to the census its distribution among the states varies every 10 years. The Electoral College has its 538 members, comprising 435 members elected to the House of Representatives in total and 100 senators, including 3 major voters in the District of Columbia.

Six winners, seven losers

The winners of the election redistricting will come out six states, as a result of this recent census and seven will lose, according to the main ways made public.

As a result, states that benefit from it have a larger delegation to the House of Representatives and at the same time increase the number of their electorate who elect a president. In contrast, losers lose weight.

However, the transfer of seats will be less than expected. Some estimates suggest that a total of 10 seats will change the state.

Texas, which has not elected a Democratic presidential candidate since the 1980s, is the state that benefits the most from the exercise, with two additional seats and a majority of voters voting for the president.

North Carolina, more Republican, and Florida, which is more Republican, because their turn will get a great voter along with everyone else. Oregon and Colorado, which have become more pro-Democratic in recent years, as well as Montana, which faces a reverse political movement, are in a similar situation. Montana has so far had only one representative; He has two.

Texas and Florida’s profits are lower than expected: by some estimates they both need to get more seats than they can get, and Arizona failed to win one, with Hispanic-origin Americans outnumbered by analyst David Wasserman, according to Cook’s political report.

California – the most populous state and strongest stronghold of the Democrats – is facing a setback for the first time after seeing slower population growth.

Another highly populous state, New York, as well as traditionally democratic states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Illinois lose one seat and one voter.

The other losers were Ohio and West Virginia, both Republicans.

Observers expect Alabama, Minnesota and Rhode Island to also lose land.

It is worth noting that New York has only 89 residents to retain all of its seats.

According to this new distribution, if the 2020 presidential election continues, Democratic President Joe Biden will have a handful of top voters, but still easily win the Electoral College.

He got 303 voters instead 306, And Donald Trump would have been 235 instead of 232.

Another Republican advantage to the 2022 election horizon

There will be a redistribution of the election map in 2021 in the context of the 2020 census. Also the new map will be used for the first time in the mid-term elections of 2022.

The redistribution of seats combined with the redistribution will help the Republicans, for whom Chambe can recapture. Democrats are in the majority, but only narrow. They currently have 218 delegates, 212 for Republicans, and five vacancies.

Some states delegate district redistricting to committees, but the majority of states delegate this responsibility to their legislators and veto the governor.

However, Republicans control the district redistricting process in far more states than Democrats because they won statewide elections in the last election.

Studies show that Republicans manipulate district boundaries more than their rivals to increase the number of rides they can win. JerryMundering.

The Third District of Maryland is a good example of this creative redistribution.