A situation that has not been seen for 25 years

Although the eastern Pacific Ocean has seen nearly a dozen named storms this season, the Atlantic basin has been relatively calm.

It has seen only three named storms so far and none in August. Such a calm is a historical exception that has not happened in 25 years.

But it is too early to declare the situation a record. Currently, NOAA is monitoring a low pressure area that has the potential to become a named storm by the end of the week. There is a 50% chance of it happening before the end of the month.

Tropical activity in September

However, the month of September may present a completely different scenario. Forecasters are closely monitoring tropical activity in the Atlantic basin, and some areas are showing favorable conditions for the coming week.

In the waters between the Cape Verde Islands and the area around the Lesser Antilles, there is a 40% chance of seeing the development of tropical cyclones.

The waves get stronger as they reach this area. Even without tropical development, this system is likely to affect the Windward Islands. It will bring heavy showers and strong currents before the end of the week. It includes the islands of Saint John, Antigua, Barbuda and Anguilla.

An unusual situation

Since records began in 1960, only two other seasons have had an August without tropical cyclones or hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean: 1961 and 1997. These also did not observe a tropical depression in August.

Remember that we are currently in the most intense moment of the hurricane season, which is usually between mid-August and mid-October.

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