Regional elections in France | The failure of Macron and Le Pen, a possible warning for 2022

After the 2017 presidential election, when Emmanuel Macron came to power, observers and polls believe that a re-edition in 2022 is possible, as historic parties appear to have been entangled in defeating Marine Le Pen in the middle and second round on the right and left. No one’s contradictions and struggles.

However, the first round of regional and sectoral elections on Sunday set a different tone.

“The power of the right-left rift is back”, analyzed the right-wing newspaper Le Figaro, The day after this vote was marked by the traditional good performance of the right (Republicans) and the left (Socialist Party) who took full advantage of the outgoing elected officials from the bonus.

“In the municipal elections (in 2020), the old world will show that it still exists,” commented political scientist Bruno Coutres. On the right and left, we hope this performance makes sense by 2022.

Javier Bertrand, a Republican candidate in the Houtes-de-France (North) who is already a candidate in the presidential election, welcomed Mr. Rally for “breaking the jaws” of the National Rally.^{To me} Le Pen.

“For the first time in four years, we have been told that we have been condemned to a second round duel between Mr. Macron and Mr.^{To me} Le Pen, […] The result shows exactly the opposite, ”said Socialist leader Oliver Four on Sunday evening.

“Everything can happen”

“Do not make hasty resolutions on the presidential election,” Interior Minister Gerald Dermanin warned France on Monday. “With 70% restraint, anything can happen in the second round” next Sunday.

In fact, the main determination of this first round of voting is the incomprehensible interest of nearly 48 million voters, which has historically been proven by almost 70% abstention.

“I don’t want to be in the form of premature and absurd bliss in the midst of a democratic crisis,” Mr. Four said Monday morning.

With such restraint, the result is “consistent with a reality in the country. This is a very legitimate part of the French electorate, most often the older voters, ”said Judge Stefan Zumsteig, an election expert in Ipsos.

“Some are talking about the preparations for the ten months before the presidential election. We wake up with the view that the engine of our democracy is running empty,” the Catholic newspaper said. Cross “Abstinence” in his editorial.

“These are elections marked by the end of the pandemic, through indifference to the specific issues of this election, the French are having trouble recognizing, and for them, the real meeting is not this Sunday, it was eleven months before the president, Radio France Inter, analyzed political scientist Bryce Tintourier.

However, there is an additional surge in the presidential party of Emmanuel Macron, La Repubblica en Marche (LREM) and Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN), two strong non-structural structures.

With a target of 15% of the vote, a young party called the LREM was created to bring Emmanuel Macron to power in 2017, but stood at around 10 or 11% and candidate ministers generally failed.

“Actually we are disappointed,” party owner Stanislas admitted in the RTL.

However, “there is nothing to say that 2022 (Emmanuel Macron) will not perform well. We must distinguish between the two candidates between the intermediate election and the national ballot,” said Crystal Logier, mistress of the Political Science Conference at the university. Avignon (South).

“Our voters did not come,” Jordan Bardella (RN) lamented on BFM-TV on Monday morning, accusing a series of leaders in the country of having “people who hate politics.” RN lost nine points compared to 2015, announcing that elections were ahead in many areas.

“Error will be considered […] It will inevitably be a defeat for Marine Le Pen and its consequences in her 2022 campaign, in which case, I do not think these two ballots should be linked. They have completely different dynamics, ”said Antoine Bristiel, AFP of the Jean-Joris Foundation.